Avram Grant is unlikely to be in Portsmouth next season
Also of interest is this piece, linked to by Matt Slater in the comments, which provides more details on the challenges faced after a club goes into administration.
If nothing else, last night's remarkable Super Bowl win for the Saints proved that all predictions are just speculation, and this blog's own preview was at best, only accurate in parts. Whilst the Saints were given a reasonable chance by most pundits, they were not the favourites, but it proved to be a topsy-turvy game in many respects, not just result-wise.
Drew Brees soaks up the atmosphere following his side's triumph
Having observed that the Colts had the edge when it came to kickers, their veteran, Matt Stover, provided the only miss of the night, whilst second year Saint Garrett Hartley proved that his game-winner a fortnight ago was no fluke, becoming the first kicker to succeed with three field goals from 40 or more yards in a Super Bowl. So much for youthful inexperience.
On offense, the Colts passed a great deal as usual, but they had success with the running game too, with Joseph Addai picking up 77 yards and a touchdown, as well as several critical runs. Yesterday this blog explored the importance of the run for Indianapolis, but no-one expected it to be the factor that it was in their offense.
Meanwhile, on the New Orleans side, the defense defied convention by blitzing Manning early in the game, then again late on, when pressure aided the fatal interception.
Porter runs in his interception to seal victory
One prediction that did come true is that a big play from the Saints' secondary could prove decisive, and so it was, with the hero of the NFC Championship game, Tracy Porter, providing the game's signature moment again.
Amongst all the failed predictions it is worth pointing out that Corinthian Spirit picked the Saints to make the Super Bowl back in September, but as runners up. Not bad. The rest of the predictions in that article are best glossed over however
Dwight Freeney's ankle, the subject of so much speculation before the game, turned out to be up to the action in the first half, with the defensive end producing the game's only sack. However, he faded as the game went on, and by the end he was unable to put pressure on Drew Brees. The New Orleans offensive line, so good all season, did its job again, justifying their crowning by John Madden as the league's best line.
Another prediction was that red zone failures would prove extra costly in this game. Whilst the Saints had their failure early in the game, they kept chipping away at the Colts, and it was Indianapolis' turn late in the fourth quarter, when they failed on fourth and goal. It was marvellously disciplined defense from the Saints that rendered their opponents unusually impotent at a key moment, although in the end it was a simple drop from Reggie Wayne that cost them the scoring chance.
Just like in the NFC Championship game, Reggie Bush was not a major factor, although he was a useful target in the short passing game. Instead it was Pierre Thomas entrusted with the key running downs. On special teams, where Bush had the chance to be a difference-maker, he was well covered by the Colts. Match officials dig through a pile of bodies to determine which team has recovered the ball following the Saints' onside kick - the New Orleans side would come up with possession and go on to score their first touchdown
If there is one big lesson to learn from this Super Bowl, it is that you make your own luck. Sean Payton made the bold call to go for it on fourth down in the second quarter, but backed it up with some unusually conservative play calling and the gamble failed. His decision to try an onside kick at the start of the second half paid off spectacularly however, as the resulting possession allowed Brees to drive the Saints downfield and put them ahead. The fact that there was a large stroke of luck involved, as the ball rebounded off a Colts player before being recovered by the Saints, merely enhanced the impression that fortune favours the brave. After a second quarter which New Orleans had dominated, but in which they had only scored two field goals, Payton made a bold call, seized the initiative, and never looked back. Soon afterwards, his decisions to go for a two point conversion following Jeremy Shockey's touchdown, and then to risk losing a valuable time out in order to challenge the decision not to award it, both paid off, and forced the Colts to be aggressive in their next drive, which in turn helped the Saints' defense put pressure on Manning and seal the win.
With Super Bowl XLIV only hours away, everyone knows the game plan for both the Indianapolis Colts and the New Orleans Saints will focus on their expansive passing offenses. Assuming the two cancel each other out, here’s a look at some other factors that might separate the teams. Whilst the Colts are rightly considered to be favourites due to the assured way they have negotiated the entire season (even their defeats were almost part of the plan), and their experience, it promises to be an evenly-matched encounter.
Indianapolis Colts:
Indy have the lowest ranked running game in the league. Not because they are incapable of running, but because they choose not to, preferring to keep the ball in the hands of Peyton Manning. Against the Saints, establishing some semblance of a running game would force the New Orleans defense not to focus on pass coverage. However, the Colts are unlikely to use more than the odd burst from Joseph Addai to keep the defense honest.
Addai could be a difference-maker for the Colts
While the Saints’ Garrett Hartley showed great poise to kick the game-winning field goal in the NFC Championship game, as a second year player, he is still an unknown quantity. The Colts meanwhile have Matt Stover, a 42 year-old with 20 years of NFL experience and a Super Bowl ring. If it comes down to a late kick to win it, you would favour Stover over Hartley, although should the latter repeat his trick from the last game, he will get a reputation of his own.
Will the officials allow the Saints to hit Peyton Manning like they hit Brett Favre in the NFC Championship game? They were lucky not to be flagged in the late stages against the Vikings, and had those calls gone the other way, they might have lost. Defensive Co-ordinator Gregg Willams has made it clear that he will pursue the same tactics, but after two weeks of media scrutiny, it is unlikely that the officials will let them get away with it in the biggest game of the year, against the most high-profile quarterback in the game. Even if they are allowed to get to him, Manning rarely gets shaken, and indeed often chooses to duck out of the big hits, in favour of living to fight another day.
Manning is unlikely to punished as Brett Favre was two weeks ago
Big game experience. Only one Saints starter has been to a Super Bowl before, and that appearance by Darren Sharper was a defeat 12 years ago. Meanwhile 19 members of the Colts’ roster were present at Super Bowl XLI, including many of their starters. The Saints froze up at times in the NFC Championship game, even Drew Brees struggled to get going in the second half, and there is a chance that they will be overawed by the occasion.
New Orleans Saints:
It is widely held that the way to beat Peyton Manning is not to blitz him, since his release is so quick that he rarely gets sacked or hurried, but to confuse him. That is not to say that he is easily confused, there is no smarter quarterback in the league, but much like bodyline bowling made Don Bradman merely a very good cricketer instead of a legendary one, it is the only way to cause his production to drop to more manageable standards. Manning adjusts faster than any quarterback in the league, so it is critical that if the Saints manage to confuse him, they capitalise and put points on the board. Manning will soon adjust, and the chance will be lost.
Because of his productivity against the blitz, and the fact that the strength of the Saints’ defense lies in their secondary, what pressure they do get on Manning must come from their defensive line only. They cannot afford to bring extra men, for fear of exposing their defensive backs and compromising their best defensive weapon.
That secondary has made big plays all season, and led the league in interceptions returned for touchdowns. No-one is more important here than the veteran Darren Sharper. If Sharper can come up with a big play against Manning, it may turn the game and get under his skin. For all his success, Manning does not have the record in the postseason that he should have. If Sharper can cause him uncertainty, it might give his side an opportunity.
Dwight Freeney’s ankle has, for the last week, been scrutinised like Beckham’s metatarsal in 2002. If the Colts’ premier pass-rusher cannot play, or can only in a limited capacity, it means less need to provide extra blockers, giving Drew Brees more targets and more time to throw.
Freeney's ankle has been subject to constant speculation this week
It would help the Saints to establish the run early. Not only will it set up the passing game, but if Reggie Bush in particular, can run with real power, as he did in the divisional playoff against Arizona, there is a chance of wearing the lightweight but speedy Colts defense down and keeping Manning off the field. Neither side is known for its running game, but the Saints have more ability than Indianapolis, and need to capitalise.
Bush could be the deciding factor. The Colts are unspectacular on special teams, and kick and punt coverage has never been a strength. This is one area where New Orleans have an advantage. If Bush can produce one or two big punt returns, it could make the difference. If he can return one for a touchdown, it might just win the Super Bowl.
A remarkable part of Indianapolis’ success has been the ease with which their rookie cornerbacks have slotted into their team this season, but they are still rookies nonetheless, and even the relatively unproductive Jets passing game burned them a couple of times in the AFC Championship game. If Brees can isolate them, Marques Colston and co. will have a big game.
Brees and Payton will attack the inexperienced Colts secondary
Both teams:
In what is expected to be an end-to-end encounter, with two high octane offenses, it is critical that neither side has any red zone failures. Should the Colts fail to score on a visit to the Saints’ red zone, Brees might well march the Saints up the other end and establish a lead. Meanwhile, should the Saints fail, Manning will do the same. With both sides expecting to score on every drive, whoever fails first will be at a huge disadvantage, much like with a break of serve in tennis.
These are just some of the interesting match-ups that await us in tonight’s game, and this is why the NFL is so fascinating – the way that both sides will scheme and attempt to create mismatches in their favour. Super Bowl XLIV features the league’s best offensive game planner in Sean Payton, against its quickest mind in Peyton Manning. Whoever wins, there will be plenty of points on the board come full time.